[Discuss Joe DiMaggio]
Joe DiMaggio
Joseph Paul (Jr.) DiMaggio   [born as Giuseppe Paolo DiMaggio]    (aka Joltin' Joe, The Yankee Clipper)
Born: 11/25/1914 in Martinez, CA USA      Died: 3/8/1999 in Hollywood, FL USA     Hall Of Fame: 1955
Weight: 193 lb.      Height: 6'2"
Bats: R                 Throws: R

Batting Pitching Fielding Salaries Achievements HoF Manager
YearAgeTeamLgGABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOIBBHBPSHSFDPBAOBPSLGOPS
193621NYAAL13863713220644152912540243943.323.352.576.928
193722NYAAL15162115121535154616730643752.346.412.6731.085
193823NYAAL14559912919432133214061592120.324.386.581.967
193924NYAAL120462108176326301263052204611.381.448.6711.119
194025NYAAL13250893179289311331261303016.352.425.6261.051
194126NYAAL139541122193431130125427613406.357.440.6431.083
194227NYAAL154610123186291321114426836209.305.376.498.875
194631NYAAL1325038114620825951059242313.290.367.511.878
194732NYAAL14153497168311020973064323014.315.391.522.913
194833NYAAL1535941101902611391551167308020.320.396.598.994
194934NYAAL76272589414614670155182011.346.459.5961.055
195035NYAAL1395251141583310321220080331014.301.394.585.979
195136NYAAL1164157210922412710061366016.263.365.422.787
13 Seasons 173668211390221438913136115373097903694614130.325.398.579.977

Post Season

YearAgeTeamRoundGABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOIBBHBPSHSFDPBAOBPSLGOPS
193621NYAWS626393003001300101346.370.462.832
193722NYAWS522260014000300000273.273.409.682
193823NYAWS415440012001100000267.313.467.779
193924NYAWS416350013001110001313.353.500.853
194126NYAWS519150001002200001263.333.263.596
194227NYAWS521370003000100000333.333.333.667
194732NYAWS726460025006210003231.375.462.837
194934NYAWS518220012003510000111.238.278.516
195035NYAWS413241012003111000308.471.6151.086
195136NYAWS623362015002420001261.320.478.798
10 Post Seasons 5119927546083000192361107.271.338.422.760
YearAgeTeamLgWLGGSCGSHOSVIPHERHRBBSOERAIBBWPHBPBKBFPGFR
No Pitching Records Found

Post Season

YearAgeTeamRoundWLGGSCGSHOSVIPHERHRBBSOERAIBBWPHBPBKBFPGFR
No Post Season Pitching Records Found
YearAgeTeamLgPosGGSInnPOAEDPPBFP
193621NYAALOF138033922820.978
193722NYAALOF1500413211740.962
193823NYAALOF1450366201540.963
193924NYAALOF117032813520.986
194025NYAALOF13003595820.978
194126NYAALOF139038516950.978
194227NYAALOF154040910830.981
194631NYAALOF131031415630.982
194732NYAALOF13903162100.997
194833NYAALOF152044181310.972
194934NYAALOF7601951300.985
195035NYAAL1B10130001.000
195035NYAALOF13703639910.976
195136NYAALOF113028811330.990
13 Seasons 172204529153105300.978

Post Season

YearAgeTeamRoundPosGGSInnPOAEDPPBFP
193621NYAWSCF6654180100.947
193722NYAWSCF5544180001.000
193823NYAWSCF4436100001.000
193924NYAWSCF4437110001.000
194126NYAWSCF5545190001.000
194227NYAWSCF5544200001.000
194732NYAWSCF7761.2220001.000
194934NYAWSCF554570001.000
195035NYAWSCF443780001.000
195136NYAWSCF6653170001.000
10 Post Seasons 5151456.21500100.993
YearAgeTeamLeagueSalary
No Salary Records Found
YearAgeLeagueAward
193924MLMajor League Player of the Year
193924ALMVP
194126ALMVP
194732ALMVP
YearAgeVotersBallotsRequiredVotesPct.InductedCategory
194530BBWAA2471861.00.00405NPlayer
195338BBWAA264198117.00.44318NPlayer
195439BBWAA252189175.00.69444NPlayer
195540BBWAA251189223.00.88845YPlayer
YearAgeTeamLgDiv#GWLPct.Div RankPly/Mgr
No Managerial Records Found

Player Discussion

[Joe DiMaggio Topics] 56 game streak not that impressive
erniecamacho : April 17, 2008 11:27 AM

From: nytimes.com with cool graphs.

A Journey to Baseball’s Alternate Universe

With the baseball season under way and the memory of scandal in the sport so fresh, many fans yearn for an earlier era, a time when mythology mingled with baseball. The sport’s most mythic achievement is Joe DiMaggio’s 56-game hitting streak, a feat that has never come even close to being matched. Fans and scientists alike, including Edward M. Purcell, a Nobel laureate in physics, and Stephen Jay Gould, the evolutionary biologist, have described the streak as well-nigh impossible.

In a fit of scientific skepticism, we decided to calculate how unlikely Joltin’ Joe’s achievement really was. Using a comprehensive collection of baseball statistics from 1871 to 2005, we simulated the entire history of baseball 10,000 times in a computer. In essence, we programmed the computer to construct an enormous set of parallel baseball universes, all with the same players but subject to the vagaries of chance in each one.

Here’s how it works. Think of baseball players’ performances at bat as being like coin tosses. Hitting streaks are like runs of many heads in a row. Suppose a hypothetical player named Joe Coin had a 50-50 chance of getting at least one hit per game, and suppose that he played 154 games during the 1941 season. We could learn something about Coin’s chances of having a 56-game hitting streak in 1941 by flipping a real coin 154 times, recording the series of heads and tails, and observing what his longest streak of heads happened to be.

Our simulations did something very much like this, except instead of a coin, we used random numbers generated by a computer. Also, instead of assuming that a player has a 50 percent chance of hitting successfully in each game, we used baseball statistics to calculate each player’s odds, as determined by his actual batting performance in a given year.

For example, in 1941 Joe DiMaggio had an 81 percent chance of getting at least one hit in each game (this statistic can be calculated using his total number of hits in the season, the number of games he played and his number of plate appearances). We simulated a mock version of his 1941 season, using the computer equivalent of a trick coin that comes up heads 81 percent of the time.

But the right question is not how likely it was for DiMaggio to have a 56-game hitting streak in 1941. The question is: How likely was it that anyone in the history of baseball would have achieved a streak that long or longer?

To answer this, our simulation repeated the coin-flipping experiments for every player in the history of the game, for every season in which he played. This is what we mean by a simulation of the entire history of baseball.

To tease out the meaningful lessons from random effects (fluky streaks that happen by luck), we redid the whole thing 10,000 times. In each of these simulated histories, somebody holds the record for the longest hitting streak. We tabulated who that player was, when he did it, and how long his streak was.

And suddenly the unlikely becomes likely: we get a very long streak each time we run baseball history. These results are shown in Figure 1. The streaks ranged from 39 games at the shortest, to a freakish baseball universe where the record was a remarkable (and remarkably rare) 109 games.

More than half the time, or in 5,295 baseball universes, the record for the longest hitting streak exceeded 53 games. Two-thirds of the time, the best streak was between 50 and 64 games.

In other words, streaks of 56 games or longer are not at all an unusual occurrence. Forty-two percent of the simulated baseball histories have a streak of DiMaggio’s length or longer. You shouldn’t be too surprised that someone, at some time in the history of the game, accomplished what DiMaggio did.

The real surprise is when the record was set. Our analysis reveals that 1941 was one of the least likely seasons for such an epic streak to occur.

Figure 2 shows the number of times, out of 10,000 simulations, that the longest streak occurred in a particular year. The likeliest time for the longest streak to have occurred was in the 19th century, back in the misty beginnings of baseball. Or maybe in the 1920s or ’30s.

But not in 1941, or afterward. That season was the miracle year in only 19 of our alternate major-league histories. By comparison, in 1,290 of our baseball universes, or more than a tenth, the record was set in a single year: 1894.

And Joe DiMaggio is nowhere near the likeliest player to hold the record for longest hitting streak in baseball history. He is No. 56 on the list. (Fifty-six? Cue “The Twilight Zone” music.) Two old-timers, Hugh Duffy and Willie Keeler, are the most probable record holders. Between them, they set the record in more than a thousand of the parallel baseball universes. Ty Cobb did it nearly 300 times.

DiMaggio held the record 28 times. Plus once more, when it counted.

jcarwash31 : April 17, 2008 12:14 PM

I want to know how many streaks approached or surpassed 56 games in a simulation. What's the expected value of 50+ game streaks in a universe? Perhaps it isn't unusual to see a streak like DiMaggio's in a universe, but what are the statistical expectations of another streak like that in this universe?

Ford Fricks Asterisk : April 17, 2008 01:35 PM

Interesting... a couple of factors that I don't think could be replicated in simulations would be media pressure and in-game strategy, both of which probably work against players today. I think DiMaggio's hitting streak could be broken, but also suspect it's less likely than the simulations show.

When Joe Baseballstar feels a twinge today, it will be reported globally within ten minutes... there's a lot of demand on any player who even approaches a 30 game hitting streak (not that there wasn't a lot of media attention on DiMaggio's streak).

I think the biggest factor though, might be relief pitching. I can't find splits for DiMaggio's career, although I think it's safe to say he hit both RHP and LHP pretty well. With more emphasis on particular matchups in today's game, and also maybe with fresher pitchers/relievers, I think there's an increased probability that an opposing manager is going to find the right combination to get the guy out one of those nights.

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